Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is precisely what your is actually asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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